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Recent data indicates that inflation has risen to 3.2%, surpassing the RBA's target range of 2% to 3%. This uptick suggests that the current monetary policy may not be as restrictive as previously thought. Additionally, Australia's economy has demonstrated resilience, with the fastest annual growth in two years and a strong labor market, providing the RBA with the flexibility to focus on controlling inflation without immediate changes to interest rates.
Market analysts have adjusted their expectations accordingly. A Reuters poll conducted from December 1-4 revealed that all 38 surveyed economists anticipate the cash rate will remain unchanged at the upcoming meeting. Furthermore, a significant majority now predict a prolonged rate hold, with some even considering the possibility of a rate hike if inflationary pressures persist.
For Australian businesses, this extended period of stable interest rates offers a predictable financial environment, facilitating strategic planning and investment decisions. However, it's crucial for business owners to stay informed about potential shifts in monetary policy, especially if inflation continues to rise, which could prompt the RBA to reconsider its stance.
In summary, the RBA's decision to hold the cash rate at 3.60% reflects a cautious approach to balancing economic growth and inflation control. Businesses should leverage this period of stability to assess their financial strategies and prepare for any future adjustments in the economic landscape.
Published:Monday, 8th Dec 2025
Source: Paige Estritori
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