Australian Fund Managers Brace for Impacts of US Tariff Policy
Australian Fund Managers Brace for Impacts of US Tariff Policy
2
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The imposition of US tariffs under former President Donald Trump's administration is predicted to challenge Australia's publicly listed fund managers, according to analysis by research and ratings firm Morningstar.
Shaun Ler, an equity analyst with Morningstar, suggests that these financial entities might experience a gradual decline in earnings over the medium term due to reduced cyclical benefits from interest rate cuts and increased market volatility.
Despite the anticipated challenges, the full ramifications of tariff uncertainties may not be completely realized until the fiscal year 2026. Ler notes that while these pressures will affect fund managers, the immediate fiscal year should see manageable impacts. The growing volatility and priced-in rate cuts are expected to dampen business momentum, with fee compression and investment in growth impeding earnings advancement.
A trend of market share loss is visible among the covered fund managers, with companies such as GQG, Perpetual, Magellan, and Platinum expected to see net outflows persisting over the coming five years. Yet, despite potential near-term earnings challenges from tariffs, Morningstar's fair value estimates for firms like Challenger, GQG, Insignia, Magellan, Perpetual, Pinnacle, and Platinum remain unchanged.
The analysis reflects that these forecasts account for weaker market returns and fund flows in the short term. Historical patterns from fiscal years 2020 to 2024 demonstrate a trend of investor pessimism giving way to increased risk appetite once uncertainties and volatility diminish.
Even within this challenging landscape, Morningstar identifies Perpetual and Insignia as good value at present prices. Perpetual is expected to gain from cost reductions, fund compounding, and stable corporate trust earnings, whereas Insignia might benefit from moderated fee compression, consistent fund flows, and eco-scalable cost adjustments.
ANZ Group has reported a 14% decline in annual cash earnings, amounting to A$5.79 billion for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025. This downturn is primarily attributed to a significant post-tax impact of A$1.11 billion, which includes A$414 million in redundancy costs for 3,500 employees and A$264 million in penalties from a regulatory lawsuit. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest bank by market value, has reported a modest increase in first-quarter cash profit, achieving approximately A$2.6 billion. This 1% rise from the previous two-quarter average is primarily driven by robust growth in home loans and household deposits. However, the bank's net interest margin has declined due to lower mortgage rates and intensified competition, reflecting the challenges in maintaining profitability amidst a competitive lending environment. - read more
A recent survey by the National Australia Bank (NAB) reveals an improvement in Australian business conditions for October 2025, marked by a rise in sales and profits. The NAB business conditions index increased by one point to +9, reaching its highest level since March 2024. Despite this positive trend, business confidence experienced a slight decline, dropping one point to +6, though it remains above the long-term average. - read more
Australia's business lending sector is witnessing a significant shift as Japanese banking giants Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) emerge as leading growth drivers. In July 2025, the combined business loan books of Australia's top 10 authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) reached A$925 billion, with SMBC and MUFG recording the highest percentage growth rates among them. - read more
In a significant strategic shift, ANZ Group has announced the cessation of its remaining A$800 million share buyback program. This decision is aimed at bolstering the bank's cash reserves to support a comprehensive restructuring plan under the leadership of CEO Nuno Matos. - read more
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has released its October 2025 Financial Stability Review, providing a comprehensive assessment of the nation's financial system. The report underscores the resilience of Australia's financial institutions, households, and businesses in the face of elevated global uncertainties. - read more
In September 2025, Australian business conditions remained steady, according to the latest survey from National Australia Bank (NAB). The survey's business conditions index held firm at +8, while the business confidence index saw a slight increase of 3 points to +7, both figures sitting just above their long-term averages. - read more
Securing financing is a pivotal step for any startup looking to establish itself and grow. In Australia, the startup lending landscape is buoyant, offering a mix of traditional and innovative financing options. The financial ecosystem is robust yet competitive, and understanding how to navigate it is crucial for new business owners. - read more
Cash flow is the lifeblood of any business, signifying the money that flows in and out of your operations. It's essential for covering daily expenses, paying employees, and capitalizing on growth opportunities. Maintaining a healthy cash flow ensures that a business can meet its obligations and invest in its future. - read more
Starting a new business is an exciting journey, but it often requires a significant amount of funding to get off the ground. Whether it's for purchasing equipment, hiring staff, or marketing your new venture, securing the right type of financing is crucial for success. - read more
In the ever-evolving landscape of Australian business, equipment leasing has emerged as a pivotal financial tool for companies across the spectrum. Whether you're a small start-up or a well-established corporation, the agility to pivot and adapt to market changes is critical. This introduction seeks to shed light on the concept of equipment leasing and its significance in bolstering the operational efficiency of Australian businesses. - read more
Starting a business often requires a substantial amount of capital, which many new business owners may not have readily available. Business loans can provide the necessary funding to help get your startup off the ground, from purchasing equipment to hiring staff and everything in between. - read more
In the dynamic world of business, navigating credit challenges is a reality for many Australian business owners. These challenges can stem from various sources, including unpaid customer invoices, unexpected expenses, or the complexities of managing cash flow. Such hurdles often come at inopportune moments, leading to recurring stress for entrepreneurs trying to maintain a stable financial standing. - read more
Financial planning plays a crucial role when businesses are poised for growth. As enterprises expand, a well-crafted financial plan acts as a guiding framework to navigate the complexities that come with scaling operations. This plan helps in ensuring that resources are meticulously allocated and potential financial hurdles are effectively managed. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without
obligation. We respect your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Guarantor: A party who agrees to be responsible for the payment of another party's debts should the original party fail to pay or perform according to a contract.