Australian Fund Managers Brace for Impacts of US Tariff Policy
Australian Fund Managers Brace for Impacts of US Tariff Policy
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The imposition of US tariffs under former President Donald Trump's administration is predicted to challenge Australia's publicly listed fund managers, according to analysis by research and ratings firm Morningstar.
Shaun Ler, an equity analyst with Morningstar, suggests that these financial entities might experience a gradual decline in earnings over the medium term due to reduced cyclical benefits from interest rate cuts and increased market volatility.
Despite the anticipated challenges, the full ramifications of tariff uncertainties may not be completely realized until the fiscal year 2026. Ler notes that while these pressures will affect fund managers, the immediate fiscal year should see manageable impacts. The growing volatility and priced-in rate cuts are expected to dampen business momentum, with fee compression and investment in growth impeding earnings advancement.
A trend of market share loss is visible among the covered fund managers, with companies such as GQG, Perpetual, Magellan, and Platinum expected to see net outflows persisting over the coming five years. Yet, despite potential near-term earnings challenges from tariffs, Morningstar's fair value estimates for firms like Challenger, GQG, Insignia, Magellan, Perpetual, Pinnacle, and Platinum remain unchanged.
The analysis reflects that these forecasts account for weaker market returns and fund flows in the short term. Historical patterns from fiscal years 2020 to 2024 demonstrate a trend of investor pessimism giving way to increased risk appetite once uncertainties and volatility diminish.
Even within this challenging landscape, Morningstar identifies Perpetual and Insignia as good value at present prices. Perpetual is expected to gain from cost reductions, fund compounding, and stable corporate trust earnings, whereas Insignia might benefit from moderated fee compression, consistent fund flows, and eco-scalable cost adjustments.
In January 2026, Australia's business lending landscape reached a significant milestone, with authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) reporting a combined total of $1.2 trillion in loans to non-financial businesses. This marks a 9.3% increase over the previous year and a substantial 53.9% growth since January 2020. Among the major players, National Australia Bank (NAB) continues to lead, boasting a loan book of $261.1 billion, reflecting an 11.6% year-on-year growth. - read more
In a strategic effort to bolster its presence in the business lending sector, Westpac Banking Corporation has announced a significant restructuring of its operations. The bank plans to replace a substantial number of in-branch tellers with business bankers, aiming to enhance support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia. - read more
In response to the escalating demand for small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) financing, Renown Lending has announced an expansion of its funding pool from $250 million to $400 million. This substantial increase is designed to provide fast and flexible funding solutions to SMEs across all Australian states. - read more
National Australia Bank (NAB) has reported a significant 7% year-on-year growth in its business lending portfolio, bringing the total to $336.2 billion. This growth underscores NAB's commitment to supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has announced a substantial 12% increase in its business lending portfolio, reaching $168 billion in the first half of 2026. This growth rate exceeds the bank's compound annual growth rate of 10.7%, indicating a strong performance in the business lending sector. - read more
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the official cash rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.85%, marking the first increase in over two years. This decision, driven by persistent inflationary pressures, has significant implications for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the country. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has reported a significant 12% increase in its business lending portfolio, reaching $168 billion by December 2025. This growth underscores the bank's commitment to supporting Australian businesses and reflects a broader economic confidence among enterprises. - read more
Securing financing is a pivotal step for any startup looking to establish itself and grow. In Australia, the startup lending landscape is buoyant, offering a mix of traditional and innovative financing options. The financial ecosystem is robust yet competitive, and understanding how to navigate it is crucial for new business owners. - read more
Financial planning plays a crucial role when businesses are poised for growth. As enterprises expand, a well-crafted financial plan acts as a guiding framework to navigate the complexities that come with scaling operations. This plan helps in ensuring that resources are meticulously allocated and potential financial hurdles are effectively managed. - read more
Your credit score is a crucial factor that lenders examine when you apply for a loan. It acts as a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, helping lenders to determine the risk involved in offering you a loan. Essentially, it helps them predict your ability to repay the loan based on your past financial behaviour. - read more
In the entrepreneurial world, securing the right type of financing can be the catalyst for substantial business growth and success. Commercial property financing in Australia encompasses a range of options tailored to meet the diverse needs of businesses, each with its own set of advantages and intricacies. This article delves into the heart of strategic financing, providing Aussie entrepreneurs with guidance on navigating this vital aspect of their business ventures. - read more
Embarking on a business endeavor often requires substantial financial support, and securing a business loan can be a crucial step towards progress and expansion. A well-prepared loan application not only showcases your business in its best light but also significantly enhances the prospects of obtaining the needed funds. Attention to detail and a thorough understanding of the lending process can streamline your journey to approval. - read more
Cash flow is the lifeblood of any business, signifying the money that flows in and out of your operations. It's essential for covering daily expenses, paying employees, and capitalizing on growth opportunities. Maintaining a healthy cash flow ensures that a business can meet its obligations and invest in its future. - read more
When it comes to starting or expanding a business in Australia, securing funding is often a top priority. However, traditional funding options, such as bank loans or government grants, can be difficult to obtain for small businesses. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without
obligation. We respect your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Return on Investment (ROI): A measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment or compare the efficiency of several different investments.