Bullock Urges Patience: Rate Cuts Not on the Horizon Yet

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Despite moderating inflation from its peak in December 2022, Bullock explained that significant price pressures persist, particularly in the services sector, rents, and residential construction. This challenging scenario indicates that inflation may not return to the targeted 2-3% range until 2026.

Ms. Bullock acknowledged the ongoing struggle for households under the pressure of steady high interest rates, which were maintained at 4.35% following last week’s board meeting. However, she remained resolute about the necessity to prioritize inflation control over rate cuts.

"The current economic indicators suggest that considering rate cuts now would be premature," Bullock said, highlighting that substantial progress in reducing inflation is yet to be made. "It’s a challenging message for households with mortgages, but the alternatives posed by prolonged high inflation are far worse."

Bullock's stance is a keen reminder of the complexities central banks face. Citing that while adjusting federal spending might provide some relief, it’s not the primary driver of persistent inflation. Instead, pressures within the services sector, housing, and consumption are more significant contributors.

Within the housing market, inflation persists, driven by rising construction costs, previously pegged at 5.1% over the past year. Ms. Bullock highlighted the delays in construction post-pandemic and the diversion of labor to large-scale infrastructure projects as key factors.

Consumers, in response to these high rates, are beginning to tighten their spending. Bullock noted that discretionary spending, particularly among mortgage holders, is hitting a plateau. The shift towards cheaper brands and essential items is a clear indication of this belt-tightening behavior.

Interestingly, those who own their homes outright are not counteracting the RBA's efforts to curtail spending. Instead, they are leveraging higher rates for savings, contributing to an overall increase in saving behaviors.

Ms. Bullock also expressed concerns regarding global economic uncertainties, such as the variability in the Chinese economy and ongoing geopolitical tensions. The slowing of the Chinese economy, weighed down by a debt-saddled property sector, could impact Australia's trade dynamics.

"Global developments, especially those in China, are crucial as they influence our trade and consequently, our economic growth," Bullock pointed out. Geopolitical risks further complicate the landscape, with potential supply chain disruptions adding to inflationary pressures.

The Reserve Bank, under Bullock's guidance, continues to monitor these issues closely. While insolvencies are a growing concern, they have not yet reached pre-pandemic levels, offering a modicum of reassurance amidst the broader economic uncertainties.

Bullock’s comments, made during an economic hearing as reported by Ellen Ransley at The Nightly, underscore the intricate balancing act of managing inflation and economic stability in a challenging global environment.

Published:Saturday, 17th Aug 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

NAB's Business Lending Surges by 7% Annually

26 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

National Australia Bank (NAB) has reported a significant 7% year-on-year growth in its business lending portfolio, bringing the total to $336.2 billion. This growth underscores NAB's commitment to supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia. - read more

CBA's Business Lending Hits $168 Billion Mark

26 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has announced a substantial 12% increase in its business lending portfolio, reaching $168 billion in the first half of 2026. This growth rate exceeds the bank's compound annual growth rate of 10.7%, indicating a strong performance in the business lending sector. - read more

RBA's Cash Rate Hike to 3.85%: Implications for SMEs

26 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the official cash rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.85%, marking the first increase in over two years. This decision, driven by persistent inflationary pressures, has significant implications for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the country. - read more

Commonwealth Bank's Business Lending Reaches New Heights

18 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has reported a significant 12% increase in its business lending portfolio, reaching $168 billion by December 2025. This growth underscores the bank's commitment to supporting Australian businesses and reflects a broader economic confidence among enterprises. - read more

Reserve Bank's Rate Hike: Implications for Australian SMEs

18 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the official cash rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.85%, marking the first increase in over two years. This decision, driven by persistent inflationary pressures, has significant implications for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the country. - read more

APRA's New Debt-to-Income Limits: What Borrowers Need to Know

18 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced the implementation of a new policy aimed at mitigating financial risks associated with high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans. Effective from 1 February 2026, authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) are required to limit the issuance of new mortgage loans with DTI ratios of six times or more to no more than 20% of their total new lending. - read more

Renown Lending Boosts SME Funding Pool to $400 Million

10 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to bolster support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Australia, Renown Lending has announced an expansion of its funding pool from $250 million to $400 million. This substantial increase aims to provide fast and flexible financing solutions to businesses nationwide, addressing the growing demand for accessible funding options. - read more

Click for more Finance News